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Zip Code 22015

Burke, VA • Fairfax County

Real Estate Market Analysis

Q3 2025 Report
$720,000 (2025 est.)
Median Home Value
44,681 (2025 projection)[1]
Population
$166,016 (2023)[1]
Median Income
A (Niche, 2025)
School District Rating

Market Statistics

Property Values

$720,000 (2025 est.)
Median Home Value
$2,900/mo (2025 est.)
Median Rent
$340 (2025 est.)
Price per Sq Ft

Market Performance

Home Appreciation~3.5% year-over-year (2024-2025)
Market VelocityLow inventory, average days on market: 18-22
Foreclosure RateVery low (<0.5%)

Area Information

Area Sizeapprox. 11.5 sq mi
CountyFairfax
Primary CityBurke

Housing Profile

Housing Statistics

Total Housing Units~15,600
Owner Occupied~81%
Rental Properties~19%
Vacant Units~3%
New ConstructionLimited; mostly infill and tear-downs, some townhome/condo projects

Housing Types

Single-family detachedTownhomesCondos

Demographics

44,681 (2025 projection)[1]
Population
39.7 years[1]
Median Age
$166,016 (2023)[1]
Median Income
Above state average; unemployment ~2.7% (2025 est.)
Employment Rate
High; over 60% with bachelor’s or higher (est.)
Education Levels
Predominantly families; average household size ~2.9
Family Composition

Education Quality

School District Performance

A (Niche, 2025)
District Rating
School DistrictFairfax County Public Schools
Test ScoresAbove state and national averages
Graduation Rates~94%

Schools in Area

  • Lake Braddock Secondary
  • Terra Centre Elementary
  • Cherry Run Elementary
  • White Oaks Elementary

Economic Factors

Employment & Business

Job GrowthSteady, ~1.2% annually (2024-2025)
Unemployment Rate~2.7% (2025 est.)
Business EnvironmentStrong, proximity to DC and Tysons; high professional/tech sector
Commercial ActivityPrimarily retail, healthcare, and professional services

Major Employers

  • Fairfax County Government
  • Inova Health System
  • George Mason University
  • Defense contractors (NG, SAIC, Booz Allen)

Infrastructure & Quality of Life

Infrastructure

Transportation Access

  • • VRE (Virginia Railway Express)
  • • Metrobus/Fairfax Connector
  • • Proximity to I-495, I-66, Fairfax County Parkway

Utilities & Services

  • • Dominion Energy
  • • Fairfax Water
  • • Washington Gas

Quality of Life

Safety & Environment

Very low; violent crime rate ~0.7/1,000, property crime ~7/1,000 (2025 est.)

High; abundant green space, low pollution

Healthcare Access

  • • Inova Fairfax Hospital
  • • Urgent care centers
  • • Specialty clinics

Development Trends

Planned Developments

  • Small-scale townhome/condo infill
  • Retail center renovations

Infrastructure Projects

  • • Intersection improvements
  • • Trail expansions

Investment Outlook

Growth Outlook

Stable, slow growth due to limited land

Investment Opportunities

  • • Value-add renovations
  • • Townhome/condo flips
  • • Long-term rental holds

Marketing Intelligence

Target Demographics

  • Move-up families
  • High-income professionals
  • Downsizers/empty nesters

Competitive Advantages

  • Top schools
  • Low crime
  • Strong community identity

Pricing Strategies

Premium pricing justified by schools and amenities; price slightly above county median

Common Objections & Response Strategies

Objection: High home prices compared to nearby areas

Response Strategy:

Emphasize school quality, safety, and long-term value retention

Objection: Limited new construction

Response Strategy:

Highlight quality of existing homes and renovation potential

Objection: Commuter traffic

Response Strategy:

Promote VRE/Metrobus access and flexible work trends

Professional Recommendations

1

Leverage school and safety data in marketing

2

Network with relocation and corporate HR departments

3

Promote virtual and video tours for remote buyers

4

Educate buyers on renovation/expansion potential

5

Monitor inventory closely for off-market opportunities

Competitive Analysis

Comparable Markets

  • 22032 (Fairfax)
  • 22152 (Springfield)
  • 22039 (Fairfax Station)

Market Positioning

Premium suburban family market with strong schools

Competitive Advantages

  • Higher median income than county average
  • Better school ratings than Springfield
  • Lower crime than Fairfax

Price Comparison

~5-10% higher than Springfield (22152), similar to Fairfax (22032), lower than Fairfax Station (22039)

Investment Metrics

~4.2% (2025 est., townhomes/condos)
Cap Rates
~4.5% gross
Rental Yields
~21
Price-to-Rent
Positive for well-managed rentals, especially townhomes
Cash Flow
3-4% annually (2025-2028)
Appreciation

Buyer Journey Insights

First-Time Buyers

Challenging due to price; focus on condos/townhomes, FHA/VA options

Move-Up Buyers

Strong appeal; larger homes, top schools, family amenities

Downsizers

Good options in townhomes/condos; low-maintenance living

Investors

Stable returns, low vacancy, high demand for rentals

Relocators

Desirable for DC-area professionals; highlight commute options, community

This zip code analysis was generated using comprehensive market data and AI intelligence.

Market conditions change rapidly - consult with local real estate professionals for the most current information.

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Nearby Areas

22193 (VA)

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$450,000

Virginia Beach, VA

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Adjacent location

$350,000

Similar Markets

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East Beach in Norfolk, VA

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