Lincoln Village West

Stockton, CA

Neighborhood Market Analysis

Q3 2025 Report
$463,699 (as of March 2025)
Median Home Price
Average: 51 (car-dependent, but some walkable pockets near shopping centers and parks)
Walkability Score
Generally above Stockton average; Lincoln Unified is one of the city’s most sought-after districts.
School Rating

Location Overview

Neighborhood Boundaries

Roughly bounded by Benjamin Holt Dr to the north, Interstate 5 to the east, the Calaveras River to the south, and the western edge near the Lincoln Village Marina and Delta waterways.

Zip Codes

95219

Market Data Summary

Price RangeRecent sales range from $374,000 to $525,000 for typical 3-4 bedroom homes.
Price per Sq Ft$257 (down 3.2% YoY as of Feb 2025)
Inventory LevelsLow to moderate; 14 homes sold in Feb 2025, down from 23 the previous year, indicating reduced turnover and limited options for buyers.

Property Characteristics

Home Types & Architecture

Home Types

Single-family homesTownhomesCondos

Architectural Styles

RanchContemporary CaliforniaMid-century modern (select homes)

Property Details

Typical Lot Sizes5,000 to 8,000 sq ft for single-family homes; some larger lots near waterways.
Home Age RangeBuilt primarily between 1965 and 1990, with some newer infill properties.
Construction QualityGenerally well-maintained; many homes have been updated, but some original properties may require modernization.

Community Profile

Demographics & Lifestyle

Demographics

Diverse, with a mix of families, professionals, and retirees. Median age is mid-40s. Higher proportion of owner-occupants than Stockton average.

Community Vibe

Suburban, relaxed, and neighborly. Waterways and marinas foster a recreational, outdoorsy culture.

Typical Residents

  • Families
  • Retirees
  • Young professionals
  • Boating enthusiasts

Family Friendly

Yes; strong appeal for families due to schools, parks, and quiet streets.

Amenities & Lifestyle

Parks & Recreation

  • Fritz Grupe Park
  • Lincoln Village West Marina
  • Calaveras River Trail

Dining Options

  • Lincoln Center restaurants (varied cuisine)
  • Local delis and cafes

Shopping Centers

  • Lincoln Center
  • Marina Shopping Plaza

Local Businesses

  • Lincoln Center (shopping/dining hub)
  • Marina shops
  • Local cafes and fitness studios

Education & Schools

Generally above Stockton average; Lincoln Unified is one of the city’s most sought-after districts.
Overall School Rating

Elementary Schools

  • Lincoln Unified School District schools (notably Lincoln Elementary)

Middle Schools

  • Sierra Middle School

High Schools

  • Lincoln High School

Private Schools

  • Presentation School
  • St. Mary’s High School (nearby)

Transportation & Accessibility

Transit & Roads

Public Transit

  • San Joaquin RTD bus routes

Major Roads

  • Benjamin Holt Dr
  • Interstate 5

Commute & Walkability

Commute Times15-20 minutes to downtown Stockton; 45-60 minutes to Sacramento (via I-5).
WalkabilityModerate; most errands require a car, but parks and shopping are accessible by foot or bike in some areas.
ParkingAmple street and driveway parking; some homes offer RV/boat parking.

Marketing Intelligence

Target Buyer Types

  • Families with school-aged children
  • Retirees downsizing from larger homes
  • Young professionals seeking suburban lifestyle
  • Investors (long-term rental focus)

Key Selling Points

  • Top-rated schools
  • Access to marinas and waterways
  • Quiet, established neighborhood
  • Proximity to shopping and dining

Pricing Considerations

Homes priced at or slightly below median move faster; premium for updated homes and waterfront lots.

Common Objections & Response Strategies

Objection: Homes take longer to sell than city average.

Response Strategy:

Emphasize stability, low turnover, and desirability for long-term residents.

Objection: Prices are higher than other Stockton neighborhoods.

Response Strategy:

Highlight superior schools, amenities, and safety profile.

Objection: Limited nightlife or urban amenities.

Response Strategy:

Promote Lincoln Center’s dining and shopping, and easy access to downtown via I-5.

Investment Insights

Investment Potential

Appreciation Potential

Moderate; stable long-term growth with recent volatility. Outperforms many Stockton neighborhoods due to schools and amenities.

Rental Demand

Consistently strong, especially for family homes and waterfront properties.

Buyer Competition

Moderate; fewer listings mean buyers must act quickly on desirable homes.

Best For

  • Families seeking good schools
  • Retirees
  • Move-up buyers
  • Investors seeking stable rental income

Potential Concerns

  • Slower days on market than city average
  • Potential for price stagnation if broader Stockton market softens

Professional Recommendations

1

Leverage school quality and marina lifestyle in marketing materials.

2

Stage homes to highlight open layouts and outdoor living.

3

Educate buyers on long-term value and neighborhood stability.

4

Network with relocation specialists and Bay Area agents.

5

Monitor inventory closely and advise clients to act quickly on well-priced listings.

Competitive Analysis

Comparable Markets

  • Brookside
  • Lincoln Village Proper
  • Spanos Park

Market Positioning

Premium suburban enclave within Stockton, ideal for families and retirees seeking safety and amenities.

Competitive Advantages

  • Better schools than most Stockton neighborhoods
  • Unique waterfront lifestyle
  • Lower crime rates

Price Comparison

Priced above Stockton average ($440,995) but below Brookside and Spanos Park for similar home sizes.

Investment Metrics

4.5% - 5.5% for single-family rentals (2025 est.)
Cap Rates
Gross yields of 5% - 6% typical for updated homes.
Rental Yields
18-20 (favorable for long-term investors)
Price-to-Rent
Positive cash flow possible with 20% down on median-priced homes.
Cash Flow
1-3% annual appreciation expected, barring major market shifts.
Appreciation

Buyer Journey Insights

First-Time Buyers

May face affordability challenges but benefit from stable values and good schools.

Move-Up Buyers

Strong appeal due to larger homes, amenities, and schools.

Downsizers

Attractive for retirees seeking low-maintenance, safe environment.

Investors

Solid rental demand and stable returns; less speculative than central Stockton.

Relocators

Desirable for those moving from Bay Area or Sacramento seeking value and lifestyle.

This neighborhood analysis was generated using hyperlocal data and AI intelligence.

Neighborhood conditions change - consult with local real estate professionals for the most current information.

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