Zip Code 33811

Lakeland, FLPolk County

Real Estate Market Analysis

Q3 2025 Report
$331,000 (as of Feb 2025, down 4.5% YoY)
Median Home Value
Approx. 30,000 (2025 estimate)
Population
$65,000–$70,000 (2025 estimate)
Median Income
B (2025 estimate)
School District Rating

Market Statistics

Property Values

$331,000 (as of Feb 2025, down 4.5% YoY)
Median Home Value
Not specified for 33811; Lakeland metro median rent approx. $1,800/mo (2025 estimate)
Median Rent
Not specified for 33811; Lakeland metro average $180–$200/sqft (2025 estimate)
Price per Sq Ft

Market Performance

Home Appreciation-4.5% YoY (Feb 2025)
Market VelocityAverage days on market: 69; 2 offers per listing; 41 homes sold last month
Foreclosure RateNot specified; Polk County foreclosure rate slightly above FL average (2025 estimate)

Area Information

Area SizeSuburban area in southwest Lakeland
CountyPolk
Primary CityLakeland

Housing Profile

Housing Statistics

Total Housing UnitsApprox. 8,000–10,000 (2025 estimate)
Owner OccupiedMajority (approx. 65–70%)
Rental PropertiesApprox. 30–35%
Vacant UnitsEstimated 6–8%
New Construction60 new homes for sale (May 2025); steady new construction activity

Housing Types

Single-family homesTownhousesCondosMulti-family units

Demographics

Approx. 30,000 (2025 estimate)
Population
38–40 years
Median Age
$65,000–$70,000 (2025 estimate)
Median Income
Unemployment rate: 3.8% (Polk County, 2025)
Employment Rate
High school diploma or higher: 88%; Bachelor’s degree or higher: 22%
Education Levels
Predominantly families with children; some retirees and young professionals
Family Composition

Education Quality

School District Performance

B (2025 estimate)
District Rating
School DistrictPolk County Public Schools
Test ScoresAverage to slightly above average for FL
Graduation Rates87% (Polk County, 2025)

Schools in Area

  • James W. Sikes Elementary School
  • R. Bruce Wagner Elementary School
  • Medulla Elementary School

Economic Factors

Employment & Business

Job Growth2.5% annual growth (2025 estimate)
Unemployment Rate3.8% (Polk County, 2025)
Business EnvironmentGrowing logistics, healthcare, and retail sectors
Commercial ActivityActive industrial and warehouse development; retail expansion

Major Employers

  • Publix Super Markets HQ
  • Lakeland Regional Health
  • Amazon Distribution
  • GEICO
  • Polk County School Board

Infrastructure & Quality of Life

Infrastructure

Transportation Access

  • Proximity to Polk Parkway (SR 570)
  • Easy access to I-4 (Tampa/Orlando)
  • Lakeland Linder International Airport nearby

Utilities & Services

  • City water/sewer
  • Electricity (TECO, Duke Energy)
  • Natural gas
  • Waste management

Quality of Life

Safety & Environment

Moderate; lower than Lakeland city average, but higher than rural Polk

Good; suburban, some flood risk in low-lying areas

Healthcare Access

  • Lakeland Regional Health
  • Urgent care clinics
  • Specialty practices

Development Trends

Planned Developments

  • New single-family subdivisions
  • Townhome communities
  • Industrial/warehouse parks

Infrastructure Projects

  • Road widening (SR 540A)
  • Utility upgrades

Investment Outlook

Growth Outlook

Steady population and housing growth through 2027

Investment Opportunities

  • Build-to-rent
  • Single-family flips
  • Small multifamily development

Marketing Intelligence

Target Demographics

  • Young families
  • Move-up buyers
  • Remote workers
  • Retirees

Competitive Advantages

  • Lower price point than Tampa/Orlando
  • Newer housing stock
  • Access to major employers

Pricing Strategies

Competitive pricing just below Tampa/Orlando suburbs; incentives for buyers (closing costs, upgrades)

Common Objections & Response Strategies

Objection: Market has softened and prices have declined.

Response Strategy:

Emphasize long-term growth, affordability, and new construction options.

Objection: Commute to Tampa/Orlando is too long.

Response Strategy:

Highlight proximity to Polk Parkway/I-4 and remote work infrastructure.

Objection: Concern about school quality.

Response Strategy:

Point to above-average local schools and ongoing district improvements.

Professional Recommendations

1

Focus on new construction and builder incentives.

2

Educate buyers on school options and community amenities.

3

Leverage local market softness to negotiate price and concessions.

4

Highlight Lakeland’s growth and job market to out-of-area buyers.

5

Monitor inventory trends and advise sellers on realistic pricing.

Competitive Analysis

Comparable Markets

  • 33813 (Lakeland Highlands)
  • 33810 (North Lakeland)
  • 33803 (Central Lakeland)

Market Positioning

Value-oriented, family-friendly, growth corridor

Competitive Advantages

  • Lower median price than 33813; more new construction than 33810

Price Comparison

33811 median home price ($331K) lower than 33813 ($370K+), higher than 33810 ($310K)

Investment Metrics

5.5–6.5% (single-family rentals, 2025 estimate)
Cap Rates
6–7% gross yield
Rental Yields
Approx. 15–16
Price-to-Rent
Positive for well-priced rentals; strong demand for 3–4 bed homes
Cash Flow
3–4% annualized through 2027
Appreciation

Buyer Journey Insights

First-Time Buyers

Attracted by affordability, new construction, and FHA/VA loan options.

Move-Up Buyers

Seeking larger homes, better schools, and new amenities.

Downsizers

Limited inventory, but some single-story and low-maintenance options available.

Investors

Active in build-to-rent and single-family rental markets; positive cash flow possible.

Relocators

Drawn by lower cost of living, proximity to Tampa/Orlando, and suburban lifestyle.

This zip code analysis was generated using comprehensive market data and AI intelligence.

Market conditions change rapidly - consult with local real estate professionals for the most current information.

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