Zip Code 78666

San Marcos, TXHays (parts in Caldwell & Guadalupe) County

Real Estate Market Analysis

Q3 2025 Report
$335,000 (Q2 2025)
Median Home Value
~85,000 (2025 est.)
Population
$54,000
Median Income
San Marcos CISD: C+ (Niche), Hays CISD: B+ (Niche)[4]
School District Rating

Market Statistics

Property Values

$335,000 (Q2 2025)
Median Home Value
$1,650/mo (Q2 2025)
Median Rent
$210
Price per Sq Ft

Market Performance

Home Appreciation~4.5% YoY (2024-2025)
Market VelocityModerate; average DOM 38 days, inventory up slightly YoY
Foreclosure RateLow, <0.5%

Area Information

Area Size~120 sq mi
CountyHays (parts in Caldwell & Guadalupe)
Primary CitySan Marcos

Housing Profile

Housing Statistics

Total Housing Units~28,000
Owner Occupied~48%
Rental Properties~52%
Vacant Units~7%
New ConstructionActive, especially single-family and multifamily near Texas State University and I-35 corridor

Housing Types

Single-family homesStudent apartmentsTownhomesDuplexesMobile homes

Demographics

~85,000 (2025 est.)
Population
25.8 (skewed by university)
Median Age
$54,000
Median Income
~95% (unemployment ~5%)
Employment Rate
~32% bachelor’s or higher, high school grad rate ~89%
Education Levels
~32% families, high share of singles and students
Family Composition

Education Quality

School District Performance

San Marcos CISD: C+ (Niche), Hays CISD: B+ (Niche)[4]
District Rating
School DistrictSan Marcos CISD (majority), Hays CISD (north), plus charters
Test ScoresVaried; some elementary schools (Crockett, Hernandez, Blanco Vista) above state average, others below[2][3][5]
Graduation RatesSan Marcos HS: 83.8% (4-year)[3]

Schools in Area

  • Crockett Elementary
  • Hernandez Elementary
  • Blanco Vista Elementary
  • Goodnight Middle
  • Miller Middle
  • San Marcos High School
  • Ki Charter Academy

Economic Factors

Employment & Business

Job Growth~2.8% YoY (2024-2025)
Unemployment Rate~5%
Business EnvironmentGrowing, college-driven, logistics and retail expanding
Commercial ActivityStrong near I-35, outlet malls, downtown revitalization

Major Employers

  • Texas State University
  • San Marcos CISD
  • Amazon Fulfillment
  • H-E-B
  • City of San Marcos

Infrastructure & Quality of Life

Infrastructure

Transportation Access

  • I-35 corridor
  • San Marcos Transit (bus)
  • Proximity to Austin (30 min) & San Antonio (45 min)

Utilities & Services

  • City water/sewer
  • Electric: Bluebonnet, PEC
  • Gas: CenterPoint

Quality of Life

Safety & Environment

Moderate; property crime above TX average, violent crime near average

Good; river access, greenbelts, air quality above average

Healthcare Access

  • Ascension Seton Hays
  • San Marcos Medical Center
  • Multiple clinics

Development Trends

Planned Developments

  • Mixed-use near downtown
  • Student housing expansions
  • Retail centers along I-35

Infrastructure Projects

  • Road widening (I-35)
  • Transit improvements

Investment Outlook

Growth Outlook

Strong, driven by university and Austin/San Antonio spillover

Investment Opportunities

  • Student rentals
  • Short-term rentals
  • Value-add multifamily

Marketing Intelligence

Target Demographics

  • Investors (student housing)
  • First-time buyers
  • University staff/faculty
  • Young professionals

Competitive Advantages

  • University town stability
  • Growth corridor between Austin & San Antonio
  • Affordability vs. Austin

Pricing Strategies

Competitive pricing vs. Austin suburbs; value-add for investors

Common Objections & Response Strategies

Objection: Concerns about school quality

Response Strategy:

Highlight top-performing schools (Blanco Vista, Crockett), mention district improvement plans, and private/charter options[2][3][5].

Objection: High student/tenant turnover

Response Strategy:

Emphasize strong rental demand, property management solutions, and stable cash flow from university-driven market.

Objection: Traffic and congestion

Response Strategy:

Point out ongoing infrastructure improvements and proximity to major employers reducing commute times.

Professional Recommendations

1

Leverage university and I-35 proximity in marketing.

2

Educate buyers on school options and district improvement plans.

3

Target investors with rental performance data and property management contacts.

4

Highlight new construction and value-add opportunities.

5

Monitor zoning and development changes for early investment leads.

Competitive Analysis

Comparable Markets

  • Kyle (78640)
  • New Braunfels (78130)
  • Buda (78610)

Market Positioning

Affordable growth market with strong rental base

Competitive Advantages

  • Lower entry price vs. Austin suburbs
  • University-driven rental demand
  • Central location

Price Comparison

78666 median home price ~$335k vs. Kyle ~$370k, New Braunfels ~$390k, Austin ~$520k

Investment Metrics

5.5%–6.2% (student rentals higher end)
Cap Rates
~6% gross yield
Rental Yields
~17–18
Price-to-Rent
Strong for well-managed student and multifamily properties
Cash Flow
4–5% annual (2025–2027)
Appreciation

Buyer Journey Insights

First-Time Buyers

Attracted by affordability, new builds, and down payment assistance programs.

Move-Up Buyers

Seek larger homes in new subdivisions or established neighborhoods with amenities.

Downsizers

Prefer townhomes, condos, or 55+ communities near healthcare and recreation.

Investors

Focus on student rentals, multifamily, and short-term rentals for cash flow.

Relocators

Drawn by university, job growth, and lower cost of living vs. Austin/San Antonio.

This zip code analysis was generated using comprehensive market data and AI intelligence.

Market conditions change rapidly - consult with local real estate professionals for the most current information.

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